Numbered Public Index

PULSE INSIDER
Archive

Numbered series · 2024 → present
Calibration Ledger track record · open metadata
Every paper is numbered, dated, and tracked. The Archive is the institutional record of the PULSE INSIDER restricted paper series produced by the unit. Each entry carries a unique serial (PI-XXX), a publication date, a declared confidence level on its central probabilistic forecast, an ex-post Brier verification score when the resolution criterion has expired, and a distribution status. Publicly visible papers are linked directly. Restricted papers list metadata only; their content is distributed under NDA. Forthcoming papers carry an indicative window and provisional title.
7 papers tracked · Calibration Ledger 2024 → 2026 active series
▣ PUBLICATION TIMELINE · 2024 → 2026 7 PAPERS · 2 FORTHCOMING

Series Cadence · Cumulative Output

Each marker is a paper · color indicates distribution status

2024 2025 2026 PI-001 PI-002 PI-003 PI-004 PI-005 PI-006 PI-007 PI-009
PUBLISHED · OPEN/RESTRICTED HIGHLIGHTED · CURRENT FORTHCOMING
Numbered Archive

Full Series · PI-001 → PI-009

Below is the complete numbered Archive of the PULSE INSIDER restricted paper series. Public papers are linked. Restricted papers expose metadata only; full operational reading is distributed under NDA via institute@fp3news.com. Forthcoming papers indicate the publication window committed by the unit.

SERIAL TITLE DOMAIN DATE CALIBRATION STATUS
PI-001 Energy Geopolitics · Foundational Brief Energy · Geopol. 2024 · Q3 ex-ante PUBLISHED
PI-002 Operation Vintage · Wine-trade buyer analysis Wine Trade 2025 · Q2 ex-ante BY REQUEST
PI-003 Italian Municipal 2027 · Risk Assessment Political Risk · IT 2025 · Q3 ex-ante BY REQUEST
PI-004 Italian Government Stability · 2025-2027 Political Risk · IT 2026 · Q1 ex-ante BY REQUEST
PI-005 Hormuz Cascade · R7/R8 Framework Geoecon · Energy 2026 · May ex-ante TIER-A · LIVE
PI-006 Three Cascades Doctrine · Wine Sector + Italian Macro Wine · Italy macro Jun-Jul 2026 FORTHCOMING
PI-007 Canary Case · Asymmetric Co-Dominion Geopolitical 2026 · May ex-ante PUBLISHED
PI-009 Italian Industrial Watchlist · Labor Decomposition Italy macro Q3 2026 FORTHCOMING
Doctrine Papers · Foundational

Framework Internal Series

Foundational framework papers. Distinct from operational PULSE INSIDER, early-warning CANARY, and relational DOSSIER. Establish the interpretive grammar under which all FP3 analytical production acquires internal coherence. Strict FP3 Eyes Only distribution.

CODE TITLE DOMAIN DATE CALIBRATION STATUS
DP-001 Sovranità Italiana Stratificata 1945–2030 · Tre Regimi di Vincolo Esterno Italy macro · Geopolitical 2026 · May 27 ex-ante INTERNAL · LIVE
Special Restricted Dossiers

Out-of-series Editions

Restricted dossiers produced outside the numbered series for specific institutional readers or time-sensitive analytical needs.

CODENAME TITLE DATE STATUS
ITALIA 56° RSF 2026 · Press Freedom Dossier · INT'L Edition v6.12 2026 · Q2 LIVE · INT'L
Italy Fragility Index · Live Deployment

· Regional Heatmap

Composite vulnerability index across V1-V18 vectors. Baseline 78.9 / 100 at 14.05.2026. Deployed in PULSE INSIDER N°005 R8 and forthcoming N°006 / N°009.

▣ ITALY FRAGILITY INDEX · REGIONAL HEATMAP DEPLOYMENT BASELINE 78.9 · 14.05.2026

Perfect Storm 2026-30 · Regional Fragility

V1-V18 composite vulnerability vectors · 0 = stable / 100 = critical · benchmark 70

VALLE D'AOSTA
62
DEMO ▾ AI ▴
PIEMONTE
76
INDUST ▾ DEMO ▾
LOMBARDIA
73
AI gap · DRAIN
TRENTINO A.A.
58
stable · medium
VENETO
74
INDUST · WINE
FRIULI V.G.
71
demo ▾▾
LIGURIA
79
DEMO ▾▾▾
EMILIA-ROM.
72
CERAMICS ▾
TOSCANA
75
WINE · DEMO ▾
UMBRIA
74
demo · indust
MARCHE
78
INDUST ▾▾
LAZIO
76
capital · admin
ABRUZZO
82
DEMO ▾▾▾
MOLISE
88
CRITICAL
CAMPANIA
85
EMPL ▾▾▾
PUGLIA
83
ILVA · EMPL
BASILICATA
86
DRAIN ▾▾▾
CALABRIA
91
CRITICAL ▾▾▾
SICILIA
88
CRITICAL
SARDEGNA
81
ISOLATION
0-49 · STABLE 50-69 · MEDIUM 70-84 · HIGH 85-100 · CRITICAL IFI mean · 77.6 · 14/20 regions ≥ 70
▣ CITATION · DOI INFRASTRUCTURE

Permanent identifiers. The unit is in the process of registering all numbered Archive entries on Zenodo (CERN/OpenAIRE) for permanent academic-citable DOI assignment. DOI metadata for public papers will be openly accessible; restricted papers will carry DOI metadata with abstract-only public visibility, with full content reserved.

Suggested citation format: FP3NEWS · Intelligence Analysis (2026). [Title]. PULSE INSIDER N°XXX. doi:[forthcoming]

FP3 Method source grading empirical memory scenarios & calibration probabilistic forecast ex-ante ledger
Neither optimists nor pessimists. We take no side: we run the FP3 Method. Trajectories, not verdicts.
Né ottimisti né pessimisti. Non parteggiamo: applichiamo i protocolli FP3. Traiettorie, non verdetti.